Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Gassaway vs David Zawada

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-21-2Record20-13-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
171 lbsWeight185 lbs
TeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian GassawayNow 1555
If they win+12→ 1567
If they lose-12→ 1543
David ZawadaNow 1560
If they win+12→ 1572
If they lose-12→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.34
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
27%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
45%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
0.97
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
43%
Takedown defense
57%
0
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Brian GassawayDavid Zawada
155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (22%)
KO/TKO
12 (60%)
11 (41%)
Submission
5 (25%)
10 (37%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

David Zawada66%
Brian Gassaway 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes David Zawada a 66% favorite over Brian Gassaway in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1560), separated by just 5 points.

Brian Gassaway finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, David Zawada 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.