Brian Gassaway vs Diego Sanchez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-21-2Record30-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Diego Sanchez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Brian Gassaway carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-8→ 1547
If they win+8→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1665
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian GassawayDiego Sanchez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Diego Sanchez78%
Brian Gassaway 22%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Diego Sanchez a 78% favorite over Brian Gassaway in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Diego Sanchez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1555, a 126-point edge.
Diego Sanchez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brian Gassaway finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Diego Sanchez 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.