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Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Johnston vs Reza Nazri

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-5-0Record0-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionTBD
6'4"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
222 lbsWeightTBD
American Kickboxing Academy· 1638 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTBD

What's at stake

Reza Nazri is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Brian Johnston carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brian JohnstonNow 1424
If they win+18→ 1442
If they lose-14→ 1410
Reza NazriNow 1471
If they win+21→ 1492
If they lose-27→ 1444

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Brian JohnstonReza Nazri
1450199719981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Reza Nazri64%
Brian Johnston 36%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Reza Nazri a 64% favorite over Brian Johnston in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Reza Nazri holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1424, a 47-point edge.

Brian Johnston enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brian Johnston finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.