Brian Johnston vs Sean Rose
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-5-0Record2-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
TBDReachN/A
222 lbsWeight264 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamTBD
What's at stake
Sean Rose is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Brian Johnston carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1442
If they lose-14→ 1410
If they win+21→ 1493
If they lose-27→ 1445
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian JohnstonSean Rose
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Rose68%
Brian Johnston 32%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Rose a 68% favorite over Brian Johnston in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Sean Rose holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1472 to 1424, a 48-point edge.
Brian Johnston enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brian Johnston finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.