Brian Johnston vs Sergio Martinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-5-0Record0-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
222 lbsWeight265 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1637 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamThe Royal Society Striking Academy
What's at stake
Sergio Martinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Brian Johnston carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1442
If they lose-14→ 1410
If they win+21→ 1492
If they lose-27→ 1444
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brian JohnstonSergio Martinez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sergio Martinez69%
Brian Johnston 31%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Sergio Martinez a 69% favorite over Brian Johnston in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Sergio Martinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1424, a 47-point edge.
Brian Johnston enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brian Johnston finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.