Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Kelleher vs Cody Gibson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cody Gibson
us

Cody Gibson

“The Renegade”

21-12-0BantamweightUFC

1662Good

Tale of the tape

24-16-0Record21-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'10"
66"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Maxum BJJTeamElite Team

What's at stake

Cody Gibson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Brian Kelleher carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brian KelleherNow 1635
If they win+13→ 1648
If they lose-11→ 1624
Cody GibsonNow 1662
If they win+11→ 1673
If they lose-13→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.31
Sig. strikes / min
3.61
41%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.18
55%
Strike defense
58%
1.68
Takedown avg.
2.13
42%
Takedown accuracy
38%
60%
Takedown defense
70%
0.67
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Brian KelleherCody Gibson
165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (33%)
KO/TKO
7 (33%)
10 (42%)
Submission
5 (24%)
6 (25%)
Decision
9 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Cody Gibson66%
Brian Kelleher 34%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Cody Gibson a 66% favorite over Brian Kelleher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Cody Gibson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1662 to 1635, a 27-point edge.

Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Cody Gibson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brian Kelleher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Cody Gibson 57%.

Cody Gibson carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.