Brian Kelleher vs Domingo Pilarte
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-16-0Record8-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height6'0"
66"Reach74,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Maxum BJJTeamRevolution Dojo
What's at stake
Brian Kelleher is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Domingo Pilarte carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1647
If they lose-13→ 1623
If they win+18→ 1616
If they lose-14→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brian KelleherDomingo Pilarte
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brian Kelleher53%
Domingo Pilarte 47%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Brian Kelleher a 53% favorite over Domingo Pilarte in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Brian Kelleher holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1598, a 38-point edge.
Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Domingo Pilarte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brian Kelleher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Domingo Pilarte 75%.
Domingo Pilarte carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.