Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Kelleher vs Domingo Pilarte

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-16-0Record8-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height6'0"
66"Reach74,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Maxum BJJTeamRevolution Dojo

What's at stake

Brian Kelleher is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Domingo Pilarte carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brian KelleherNow 1635
If they win+10→ 1645
If they lose-14→ 1621
Domingo PilarteNow 1584
If they win+18→ 1602
If they lose-14→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.31
Sig. strikes / min
1.31
41%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.96
55%
Strike defense
40%
1.68
Takedown avg.
1.20
42%
Takedown accuracy
43%
60%
Takedown defense
55%
0.67
Submission avg.
0.80

Trajectory

Brian KelleherDomingo Pilarte
16001650170020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
10 (42%)
Submission
4 (50%)
6 (25%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Domingo Pilarte66%
Brian Kelleher 34%Elo baseline: 43%

The Combat Edge model makes Domingo Pilarte a 66% favorite over Brian Kelleher in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brian Kelleher's way (43%).

Brian Kelleher holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1635 to 1584, a 51-point edge.

Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Domingo Pilarte enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brian Kelleher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Domingo Pilarte 75%.

Domingo Pilarte carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.