Brian Kelleher vs John Lineker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-16-0Record37-11-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'3"
66"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Maxum BJJTeamOCS Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
John Lineker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Brian Kelleher carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-8→ 1627
If they win+11→ 1761
If they lose-21→ 1729
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian KelleherJohn Lineker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Lineker84%
Brian Kelleher 16%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes John Lineker a 84% favorite over Brian Kelleher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
John Lineker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1750 to 1635, a 115-point edge.
Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brian Kelleher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, John Lineker 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.