AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Kelleher vs John Lineker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
John Lineker
br

John Lineker

“Hands of Stone”

37-11-0FeatherweightONE

1763Great

Tale of the tape

24-16-0Record37-11-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'3"
66"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Maxum BJJTeamOCS Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

John Lineker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Brian Kelleher carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brian KelleherNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-8→ 1628
John LinekerNow 1763
If they win+10→ 1773
If they lose-22→ 1741

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.31
Sig. strikes / min
5.36
41%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
55%
Strike defense
56%
1.68
Takedown avg.
0.56
42%
Takedown accuracy
58%
60%
Takedown defense
68%
0.67
Submission avg.
0.64

Trajectory

Brian KelleherJohn Lineker
1650170017501800202220232024

Win method breakdown

8 (33%)
KO/TKO
18 (50%)
10 (42%)
Submission
4 (11%)
6 (25%)
Decision
14 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

John Lineker79%
Brian Kelleher 21%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes John Lineker a 79% favorite over Brian Kelleher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

John Lineker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1763 to 1636, a 127-point edge.

Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Brian Kelleher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, John Lineker 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.