Brian Kelleher vs Kevin Croom
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-16-0Record22-15-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'11"
66"Reach73"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Maxum BJJTeamGlory MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
Brian Kelleher is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Kevin Croom carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1620
If they win+16→ 1544
If they lose-8→ 1520
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brian KelleherKevin Croom
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brian Kelleher65%
Kevin Croom 35%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Brian Kelleher a 65% favorite over Kevin Croom in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Brian Kelleher holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1528, a 108-point edge.
Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brian Kelleher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Croom 73%.
Kevin Croom carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.