Brian Kelleher vs Montel Jackson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-16-0Record16-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'10"
66"Reach75″
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Maxum BJJTeamRed Schafer MMA
What's at stake
Montel Jackson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Brian Kelleher carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-8→ 1628
If they win+10→ 1773
If they lose-22→ 1741
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1699 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brian KelleherMontel Jackson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Montel Jackson89%
Brian Kelleher 11%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Montel Jackson a 89% favorite over Brian Kelleher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Montel Jackson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1763 to 1636, a 127-point edge.
Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brian Kelleher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Montel Jackson 63%.
Brian Kelleher and Montel Jackson share 1 common opponent: Ricky Simón.
Montel Jackson carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.