Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Kelleher vs Montel Jackson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-16-0Record15-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'10"
66"Reach75″
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Maxum BJJTeamRed Schafer MMA

What's at stake

Montel Jackson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Brian Kelleher carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brian KelleherNow 1635
If they win+16→ 1651
If they lose-8→ 1627
Montel JacksonNow 1744
If they win+11→ 1755
If they lose-21→ 1723

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.31
Sig. strikes / min
3.09
41%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.40
55%
Strike defense
61%
1.68
Takedown avg.
3
42%
Takedown accuracy
64%
60%
Takedown defense
68%
0.67
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Brian KelleherMontel Jackson
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (33%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
10 (42%)
Submission
1 (7%)
6 (25%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Montel Jackson92%
Brian Kelleher 8%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Montel Jackson a 92% favorite over Brian Kelleher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Montel Jackson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1635, a 109-point edge.

Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Montel Jackson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brian Kelleher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Montel Jackson 60%.

Montel Jackson carries a 9-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.