Brian Kelleher vs Ricky Simón
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-16-0Record22-7-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
66"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Maxum BJJTeamAmerican Top Team Portland
What's at stake
Ricky Simón is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Brian Kelleher carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1650
If they lose-9→ 1626
If they win+9→ 1743
If they lose-15→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian KelleherRicky Simón
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ricky Simón88%
Brian Kelleher 12%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Ricky Simón a 88% favorite over Brian Kelleher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Ricky Simón holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1635, a 99-point edge.
Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brian Kelleher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Simón 50%.
Brian Kelleher and Ricky Simón share 1 common opponent: Mario Bautista.
Ricky Simón carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.