Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Manning vs Gilbert Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Gilbert Smith
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Gilbert Smith

“Chocolate Thunder”

13-6-0WelterweightLFA

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record13-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian ManningNow 1612
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588
Gilbert SmithNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.09
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.73
TBD
Strike defense
35%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.51
TBD
Takedown accuracy
60%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.17

Trajectory

Brian ManningGilbert Smith
155016001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
1 (17%)
Submission
8 (62%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Manning66%
Gilbert Smith 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Manning a 66% favorite over Gilbert Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1612), separated by just 0 points.

Brian Manning finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Gilbert Smith 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.