Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Manning vs Leon Aliu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record11-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA CorkTeamIron Team Reggio Emilia

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian ManningNow 1612
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588
Leon AliuNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
6.32
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
10.11
TBD
Strike defense
38%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brian ManningLeon Aliu
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
1 (17%)
Submission
4 (36%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Manning66%
Leon Aliu 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Manning a 66% favorite over Leon Aliu in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Leon Aliu's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.

Brian Manning finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Leon Aliu 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.