Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Manning vs Tor Troeng

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tor Troeng
se

Tor Troeng

“The Hammer”

16-7-1MiddleweightUFC

1613Solid

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record16-7-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight184 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian ManningNow 1612
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588
Tor TroengNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.16
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
TBD
Strike defense
32%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.62
TBD
Takedown accuracy
8%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Brian ManningTor Troeng
155016001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (83%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
1 (17%)
Submission
6 (38%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Manning70%
Tor Troeng 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Manning a 70% favorite over Tor Troeng in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tor Troeng's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.

Tor Troeng enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brian Manning finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tor Troeng 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.