Brian Melancon vs Chris Mixan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record7-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'1"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Paradigm Training CenterTeamPete White Boxing and MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian MelanconChris Mixan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Mixan60%
Brian Melancon 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Mixan a 60% favorite over Brian Melancon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1589), separated by just 3 points.
Chris Mixan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brian Melancon finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Chris Mixan 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.