Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Melancon vs Leon Shahbazyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'2"
TBDReach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Paradigm Training CenterTeamGlendale Fighting Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian MelanconNow 1586
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562
Leon ShahbazyanNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1580 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.18
Sig. strikes / min
6.33
49%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.18
65%
Strike defense
32%
2.02
Takedown avg.
1.46
100%
Takedown accuracy
50%
67%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brian MelanconLeon Shahbazyan
15501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
1 (14%)
Submission
11 (92%)
2 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Leon Shahbazyan60%
Brian Melancon 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Leon Shahbazyan a 60% favorite over Brian Melancon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1587), separated by just 1 points.

Brian Melancon finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Leon Shahbazyan 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.