Brian Melancon vs Theodor Berggren
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record8-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
170 lbsWeight167 lbs
Paradigm Training CenterTeamRenyi
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1610
If they lose-24→ 1562
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brian MelanconTheodor Berggren
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Theodor Berggren64%
Brian Melancon 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Theodor Berggren a 64% favorite over Brian Melancon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1587), separated by just 1 points.
Brian Melancon finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Theodor Berggren 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.