Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Ortega vs Miles Johns

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record16-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
69"Reach66"
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
Black HouseTeamMarathon MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian OrtegaNow 1716
If they win+16→ 1732
If they lose-16→ 1700
Miles JohnsNow 1718
If they win+16→ 1734
If they lose-16→ 1702

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1776 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
3.36
37%
Strike accuracy
45%
6.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
49%
Strike defense
66%
0.93
Takedown avg.
1.22
2%
Takedown accuracy
2%
55%
Takedown defense
78%
0.93
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Brian OrtegaMiles Johns
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
5 (31%)
8 (50%)
Submission
2 (13%)
5 (31%)
Decision
9 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Miles Johns71%
Brian Ortega 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Miles Johns a 71% favorite over Brian Ortega in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1716 vs 1718), separated by just 2 points.

Brian Ortega enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brian Ortega finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Miles Johns 44%.

Brian Ortega carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.