Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Ortega vs Yadier del Valle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record11-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'8"
69"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight146 lbs
Black HouseTeamGracie Barra Westchase

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian OrtegaNow 1716
If they win+16→ 1732
If they lose-16→ 1700
Yadier del ValleNow 1719
If they win+16→ 1735
If they lose-16→ 1703

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1776 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
4.05
37%
Strike accuracy
61%
6.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.16
49%
Strike defense
55%
0.93
Takedown avg.
1.23
2%
Takedown accuracy
14%
55%
Takedown defense
58%
0.93
Submission avg.
2.05

Trajectory

Brian OrtegaYadier del Valle
16501700175020252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
8 (50%)
Submission
4 (36%)
5 (31%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Yadier del Valle71%
Brian Ortega 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yadier del Valle a 71% favorite over Brian Ortega in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1716 vs 1719), separated by just 3 points.

Brian Ortega enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brian Ortega finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Yadier del Valle 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.