Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Rogers vs Ryan Loder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Brian Rogers
us

Brian Rogers

“The Professional Predator”

14-9-0MiddleweightPMMA

1591Solid
Ryan Loder
us

Ryan Loder

“The Man of Steel”

7-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1590Solid

Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record7-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
TBDReach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamApex Wrestling Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian RogersNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
Ryan LoderNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.76
TBD
Strike accuracy
71%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.57
TBD
Takedown accuracy
14%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.57

Trajectory

Brian RogersRyan Loder
15501600165020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
2 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (14%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Loder63%
Brian Rogers 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Loder a 63% favorite over Brian Rogers in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brian Rogers's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1590), separated by just 1 points.

Brian Rogers enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ryan Loder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brian Rogers finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Loder 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.