Brian Rogers vs Tre'ston Vines
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-9-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Factory XTeamKage Fit Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian RogersTre'ston Vines
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tre'ston Vines62%
Brian Rogers 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tre'ston Vines a 62% favorite over Brian Rogers in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brian Rogers's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1590), separated by just 1 points.
Brian Rogers enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Brian Rogers finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Tre'ston Vines 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.