Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Sleeman vs Ondřej Raška

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-9-1Record12-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Dragons LairTeamJetsaam Gym Brno

What's at stake

Ondřej Raška is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Brian Sleeman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brian SleemanNow 1426
If they win+18→ 1444
If they lose-14→ 1412
Ondřej RaškaNow 1466
If they win+14→ 1480
If they lose-18→ 1448

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brian SleemanOndřej Raška
1450150020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
4 (44%)
Submission
5 (42%)
3 (33%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ondřej Raška70%
Brian Sleeman 30%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Ondřej Raška a 70% favorite over Brian Sleeman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Ondřej Raška holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1466 to 1426, a 40-point edge.

Brian Sleeman finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ondřej Raška 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.