Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Stann vs Chael Sonnen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Brian Stann
us

Brian Stann

“All-American”

12-6-0MiddleweightUFC

1685Good

Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record31-17-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach73"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brian StannNow 1685
If they win+15→ 1700
If they lose-17→ 1668
Chael SonnenNow 1672
If they win+12→ 1684
If they lose-12→ 1660

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1763 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.28
Sig. strikes / min
3.10
43%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.12
59%
Strike defense
63%
0.12
Takedown avg.
3.78
13%
Takedown accuracy
59%
61%
Takedown defense
67%
0.35
Submission avg.
0.41

Trajectory

Brian StannChael Sonnen
165017001750201120122013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

9 (75%)
KO/TKO
8 (26%)
1 (8%)
Submission
4 (13%)
2 (17%)
Decision
19 (61%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Stann67%
Chael Sonnen 33%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stann a 67% favorite over Chael Sonnen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1672), separated by just 13 points.

Brian Stann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chael Sonnen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Brian Stann finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Chael Sonnen 39%.

Brian Stann and Chael Sonnen share 2 common opponents: Wanderlei Silva and Michael Bisping.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossKO/TKO · 2013
Wanderlei Silva
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2017
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2012
Michael Bisping
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2012