Brian Stann vs Chris Leben
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record22-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamAlliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Brian Stann is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Chris Leben carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1699
If they lose-18→ 1667
If they win+14→ 1649
If they lose-10→ 1625
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brian StannChris Leben
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brian Stann56%
Chris Leben 44%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stann a 56% favorite over Chris Leben in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Brian Stann holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1635, a 50-point edge.
Brian Stann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Leben enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brian Stann finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Chris Leben 77%.
Brian Stann and Chris Leben share 1 common opponent: Wanderlei Silva.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.