Brian Stann vs Jorge Santiago
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record25-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamBlackzilians
What's at stake
Jorge Santiago is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Brian Stann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1702
If they lose-15→ 1670
If they win+11→ 1714
If they lose-13→ 1690
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian StannJorge Santiago
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brian Stann53%
Jorge Santiago 47%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stann a 53% favorite over Jorge Santiago in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jorge Santiago's way (47%).
Jorge Santiago holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1703 to 1685, a 18-point edge.
Brian Stann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jorge Santiago enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brian Stann finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Santiago 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.