Brian Stann vs Rodney Wallace
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record26-16-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTeam R.O.C. Charlotte
What's at stake
Brian Stann is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Rodney Wallace carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1696
If they lose-21→ 1664
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-8→ 1566
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brian StannRodney Wallace
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brian Stann55%
Rodney Wallace 45%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stann a 55% favorite over Rodney Wallace in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Brian Stann holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1574, a 111-point edge.
Brian Stann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rodney Wallace enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brian Stann finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Rodney Wallace 35%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.