Brian Stann vs Steve Cantwell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record7-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamOne Kick's Gym
What's at stake
Brian Stann is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Steve Cantwell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1698
If they lose-19→ 1666
If they win+19→ 1648
If they lose-13→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian StannSteve Cantwell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brian Stann60%
Steve Cantwell 40%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stann a 60% favorite over Steve Cantwell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Brian Stann holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1629, a 56-point edge.
Brian Stann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Steve Cantwell enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Brian Stann finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Steve Cantwell 100%.
Brian Stann and Steve Cantwell share 1 common opponent: Mike Massenzio.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.