Brian Stapleton vs David Marshall
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record8-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'2"
N/AReachTBD
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamCesar Gracie Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
David Marshall is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Brian Stapleton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1498
If they lose-23→ 1450
If they win+23→ 1513
If they lose-25→ 1465
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brian StapletonDavid Marshall
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brian Stapleton57%
David Marshall 43%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 57% favorite over David Marshall in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Marshall's way (48%).
David Marshall holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1490 to 1473, a 17-point edge.
David Marshall enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
David Marshall 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.