Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Stapleton vs Josh Stuart

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record0-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
N/AReachTBD
161 lbsWeight159 lbs
TBDTeamTBD

What's at stake

Brian Stapleton is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Josh Stuart carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brian StapletonNow 1473
If they win+22→ 1495
If they lose-26→ 1447
Josh StuartNow 1444
If they win+26→ 1470
If they lose-22→ 1422

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1462 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brian StapletonJosh Stuart
145019992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Combat Edge model read

Brian Stapleton55%
Josh Stuart 45%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 55% favorite over Josh Stuart in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Brian Stapleton holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1473 to 1444, a 29-point edge.

Josh Stuart enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.