Combat Edge Intelligence

Brian Stapleton vs Justin DeMoney

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record15-11-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
N/AReachTBD
161 lbsWeight168 lbs
TBDTeamTBD

What's at stake

Brian Stapleton is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Justin DeMoney carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brian StapletonNow 1473
If they win+21→ 1494
If they lose-27→ 1446
Justin DeMoneyNow 1426
If they win+18→ 1444
If they lose-14→ 1412

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brian StapletonJustin DeMoney
1450201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (27%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Brian Stapleton78%
Justin DeMoney 22%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Brian Stapleton a 78% favorite over Justin DeMoney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Brian Stapleton holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1473 to 1426, a 47-point edge.

Justin DeMoney enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Justin DeMoney 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.