Brian Warren vs Lucas Cortes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-18-1Record3-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReach75"
185 lbsWeight180 lbs
Unbreakable GymTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1525
If they lose-12→ 1501
If they win+24→ 1541
If they lose-24→ 1493
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brian WarrenLucas Cortes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Cortes64%
Brian Warren 36%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Cortes a 64% favorite over Brian Warren in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1513 vs 1517), separated by just 4 points.
Brian Warren enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brian Warren finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Cortes 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.