Combat Edge Intelligence

Bristol Marunde vs Phil Rowe

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Phil Rowe
us

Phil Rowe

“The Fresh Prince”

11-7-0WelterweightUFC

1637Solid

Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record11-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach80"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamFusion X-Cel Performance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bristol MarundeNow 1638
If they win+12→ 1650
If they lose-12→ 1626
Phil RoweNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.42
Sig. strikes / min
3.50
22%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.12
47%
Strike defense
52%
1.60
Takedown avg.
0.52
33%
Takedown accuracy
36%
14%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Bristol MarundePhil Rowe
160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
6 (38%)
Submission
4 (36%)
7 (44%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Phil Rowe55%
Bristol Marunde 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Phil Rowe a 55% favorite over Bristol Marunde in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Bristol Marunde's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1637), separated by just 1 points.

Phil Rowe enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Bristol Marunde finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Phil Rowe 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.