Combat Edge Intelligence

Brock Larson vs Mike Pyle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Pyle
us

Mike Pyle

“Quicksand”

27-14-1WelterweightUFC

1674Good

Tale of the tape

42-10-0Record27-14-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach74,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Get Sum Athletic CompoundTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

Brock Larson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Mike Pyle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Brock LarsonNow 1743
If they win+10→ 1753
If they lose-14→ 1729
Mike PyleNow 1674
If they win+14→ 1688
If they lose-10→ 1664

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.39
Sig. strikes / min
2.74
47%
Strike accuracy
46%
1.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.84
56%
Strike defense
61%
2.67
Takedown avg.
1.80
34%
Takedown accuracy
36%
43%
Takedown defense
70%
2
Submission avg.
1.54

Trajectory

Brock LarsonMike Pyle
1700175020142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

15 (37%)
KO/TKO
7 (26%)
21 (51%)
Submission
16 (59%)
5 (12%)
Decision
4 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Brock Larson75%
Mike Pyle 25%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Brock Larson a 75% favorite over Mike Pyle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Brock Larson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1743 to 1674, a 69-point edge.

Mike Pyle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brock Larson finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Mike Pyle 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.