Brock Lesnar vs Frank Mir
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record19-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
81"Reach79"
265 lbsWeight262 lbs
Team Death ClutchTeamFrank Mir Gym
What's at stake
Frank Mir is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Brock Lesnar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1616
If they lose-22→ 1568
If they win+11→ 1631
If they lose-13→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brock LesnarFrank Mir
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Brock Lesnar and Frank Mir within a point of even.
Frank Mir holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1620 to 1590, a 30-point edge.
Brock Lesnar finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Frank Mir 78%.
Brock Lesnar and Frank Mir share 2 common opponents: Mark Hunt and Alistair Overeem.
Brock Lesnar carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.