Brock Lesnar vs Heath Herring
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record28-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
81"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight250 lbs
Team Death ClutchTeamLas Vegas Combat Club
What's at stake
Heath Herring is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Brock Lesnar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1616
If they lose-22→ 1568
If they win+11→ 1633
If they lose-13→ 1609
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brock LesnarHeath Herring
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Heath Herring54%
Brock Lesnar 46%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Heath Herring a 54% favorite over Brock Lesnar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Heath Herring holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1622 to 1590, a 32-point edge.
Heath Herring enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brock Lesnar finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Heath Herring 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.