Brock Lesnar vs Mark Hunt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record13-14-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height5'10"
81"Reach72"
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
Team Death ClutchTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Mark Hunt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Brock Lesnar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1616
If they lose-22→ 1568
If they win+11→ 1636
If they lose-13→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1704 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brock LesnarMark Hunt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brock Lesnar60%
Mark Hunt 40%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Brock Lesnar a 60% favorite over Mark Hunt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Hunt's way (45%).
Mark Hunt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1625 to 1590, a 35-point edge.
Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brock Lesnar finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Mark Hunt 77%.
Brock Lesnar and Mark Hunt share 2 common opponents: Alistair Overeem and Frank Mir.
Brock Lesnar carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.