Brock Lesnar vs Mark Hunt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record13-14-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height5'10"
81"Reach72"
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
Team Death ClutchTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Mark Hunt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Brock Lesnar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1590
If they lose-19→ 1542
If they win+9→ 1651
If they lose-15→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1650 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1721 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brock LesnarMark Hunt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mark Hunt54%
Brock Lesnar 46%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Mark Hunt a 54% favorite over Brock Lesnar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Mark Hunt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1642 to 1561, a 81-point edge.
Brock Lesnar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mark Hunt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Brock Lesnar finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Mark Hunt 77%.
Brock Lesnar and Mark Hunt share 2 common opponents: Alistair Overeem and Frank Mir.
Brock Lesnar carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.