Brock Lesnar vs Randy Couture
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record19-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
81"Reach75"
265 lbsWeight203 lbs
Team Death ClutchTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Randy Couture is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Brock Lesnar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+33→ 1623
If they lose-15→ 1575
If they win+8→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1705
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Brock LesnarRandy Couture
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Randy Couture71%
Brock Lesnar 29%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Randy Couture a 71% favorite over Brock Lesnar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Randy Couture holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1590, a 131-point edge.
Brock Lesnar finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Randy Couture 58%.
Brock Lesnar carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.