Brock Lesnar vs Randy Couture
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record19-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
81"Reach75"
265 lbsWeight203 lbs
Team Death ClutchTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Randy Couture is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Brock Lesnar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+34→ 1595
If they lose-14→ 1547
If they win+7→ 1727
If they lose-17→ 1703
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1650 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brock LesnarRandy Couture
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Randy Couture74%
Brock Lesnar 26%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Randy Couture a 74% favorite over Brock Lesnar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Randy Couture holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1561, a 159-point edge.
Brock Lesnar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Brock Lesnar finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Randy Couture 58%.
Brock Lesnar carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.