Combat Edge Intelligence

Brodie Farber vs Theodor Berggren

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-7-0Record8-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
205 lbsWeight167 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamRenyi

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brodie FarberNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Theodor BerggrenNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.69
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
0.90
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
20%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.90
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brodie FarberTheodor Berggren
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (24%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
11 (65%)
Submission
3 (38%)
2 (12%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Theodor Berggren70%
Brodie Farber 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Theodor Berggren a 70% favorite over Brodie Farber in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1589), separated by just 2 points.

Brodie Farber enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Brodie Farber finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Theodor Berggren 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.