Combat Edge Intelligence

Brogan Walker vs Ilara Joanne

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ilara Joanne
br

Ilara Joanne

“Arya Stark”

13-11-0FlyweightPFL

1522Average

Tale of the tape

7-5-0Record13-11-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'3"
67"Reach64"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Elite Muay ThaiTeamPitbull Brothers· 1621 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brogan WalkerNow 1532
If they win+16→ 1548
If they lose-16→ 1516
Ilara JoanneNow 1522
If they win+16→ 1538
If they lose-16→ 1506

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.04
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
31%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
47%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
11%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Brogan WalkerIlara Joanne
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
1 (14%)
Submission
3 (23%)
6 (86%)
Decision
6 (46%)

Combat Edge model read

Ilara Joanne59%
Brogan Walker 41%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ilara Joanne a 59% favorite over Brogan Walker in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brogan Walker's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1532 vs 1522), separated by just 10 points.

Brogan Walker enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Brogan Walker finishes 14% of wins inside the distance, Ilara Joanne 54%.

Brogan Walker carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.