Combat Edge Intelligence

Brok Weaver vs Rodrigo Vargas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Brok Weaver
us

Brok Weaver

“Chata Tuska”

17-6-0WelterweightiKON

1627Solid

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record16-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'7"
73,0"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight160 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMexican Pride Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brok WeaverNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Rodrigo VargasNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.78
Sig. strikes / min
3.65
65%
Strike accuracy
54%
4.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.77
46%
Strike defense
58%
0.41
Takedown avg.
0.40
10%
Takedown accuracy
25%
67%
Takedown defense
30%
0.41
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Brok WeaverRodrigo Vargas
155016001650201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
3 (20%)
Submission
7 (44%)
9 (60%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Brok Weaver57%
Rodrigo Vargas 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Brok Weaver a 57% favorite over Rodrigo Vargas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1625), separated by just 2 points.

Rodrigo Vargas enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Brok Weaver finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Vargas 88%.

Brok Weaver carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.