Brok Weaver vs Tumelo Manyamala
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-0Record8-2-0
WelterweightDivisionFlyweight
6'0"Height5'9"
73,0"Reach70.5"
170 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top TeamTeamPride Fighting Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Brok WeaverTumelo Manyamala
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tumelo Manyamala55%
Brok Weaver 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tumelo Manyamala a 55% favorite over Brok Weaver in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Brok Weaver's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1626), separated by just 1 points.
Brok Weaver finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Tumelo Manyamala 88%.
Brok Weaver carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.