Combat Edge Intelligence

Brok Weaver vs Wilson Lopshire

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Brok Weaver
us

Brok Weaver

“Chata Tuska”

17-6-0WelterweightiKON

1627Solid

Tale of the tape

17-6-0Record7-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
73,0"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight156 lbs
American Top TeamTeamGarra Brazilian Jiu Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Brok WeaverNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Wilson LopshireNow 1629
If they win+24→ 1653
If they lose-24→ 1605

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.78
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
65%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.35
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
0.41
Takedown avg.
TBD
10%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.41
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Brok WeaverWilson Lopshire
15501600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
2 (29%)
3 (20%)
Submission
5 (71%)
9 (60%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Wilson Lopshire60%
Brok Weaver 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Wilson Lopshire a 60% favorite over Brok Weaver in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1629), separated by just 2 points.

Brok Weaver finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Wilson Lopshire 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.