Bruno Silva vs Francis Carmont
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-13-0Record25-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
74"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight205 lbs
Brazilian TKOTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bruno SilvaFrancis Carmont
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bruno Silva61%
Francis Carmont 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bruno Silva a 61% favorite over Francis Carmont in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1644), separated by just 3 points.
Bruno Silva enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Bruno Silva finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Francis Carmont 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.