Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Cappelozza vs Dmitriy Aryshev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-7-0Record15-10-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'11"
79"Reach-
237 lbsWeight187 lbs
Corinthians MMATeamSech Pro

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bruno CappelozzaNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Dmitriy AryshevNow 1666
If they win+12→ 1678
If they lose-12→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Bruno CappelozzaDmitriy Aryshev
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (88%)
KO/TKO
12 (80%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (13%)
2 (12%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Bruno Cappelozza66%
Dmitriy Aryshev 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bruno Cappelozza a 66% favorite over Dmitriy Aryshev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dmitriy Aryshev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1666), separated by just 2 points.

Bruno Cappelozza finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Dmitriy Aryshev 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.