Bruno Cappelozza vs Valentin Moldavsky
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-7-0Record15-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
79"Reach75"
237 lbsWeight205 lbs
Corinthians MMA· 1591 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamFedorTeam· 1771 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Valentin Moldavsky is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Bruno Cappelozza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1681
If they lose-15→ 1649
If they win+15→ 1708
If they lose-17→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Bruno CappelozzaValentin Moldavsky
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Valentin Moldavsky61%
Bruno Cappelozza 39%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Valentin Moldavsky a 61% favorite over Bruno Cappelozza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Valentin Moldavsky holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1664, a 29-point edge.
Bruno Cappelozza finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Valentin Moldavsky 33%.
Bruno Cappelozza and Valentin Moldavsky share 1 common opponent: Ante Delija.
Bruno Cappelozza carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.