Bruno Cappelozza vs Valentin Moldavsky
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-7-0Record15-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
79"Reach75"
237 lbsWeight205 lbs
Corinthians MMATeamFedorTeam
What's at stake
Valentin Moldavsky is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Bruno Cappelozza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1664
If they lose-13→ 1632
If they win+13→ 1723
If they lose-19→ 1691
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bruno CappelozzaValentin Moldavsky
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Valentin Moldavsky72%
Bruno Cappelozza 28%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Valentin Moldavsky a 72% favorite over Bruno Cappelozza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Valentin Moldavsky holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1645, a 65-point edge.
Bruno Cappelozza enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Valentin Moldavsky enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Bruno Cappelozza finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Valentin Moldavsky 33%.
Bruno Cappelozza and Valentin Moldavsky share 1 common opponent: Ante Delija.
Bruno Cappelozza carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.