Bruno Korea vs Matheus Nicolau
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-1Record19-5-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
65.50Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Matheus Nicolau is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Bruno Korea carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+36→ 1517
If they lose-12→ 1469
If they win+8→ 1671
If they lose-24→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1600 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1646 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bruno KoreaMatheus Nicolau
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matheus Nicolau72%
Bruno Korea 28%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Nicolau a 72% favorite over Bruno Korea in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Matheus Nicolau holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1663 to 1481, a 182-point edge.
Matheus Nicolau enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Bruno Korea finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Nicolau 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.