Bruno Lopes vs Carmelo Marrero
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record16-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
74"ReachTBD
204 lbsWeight255 lbs
011 MMA TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Carmelo Marrero is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Bruno Lopes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1648
If they lose-15→ 1616
If they win+15→ 1665
If they lose-17→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bruno LopesCarmelo Marrero
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bruno Lopes60%
Carmelo Marrero 40%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Bruno Lopes a 60% favorite over Carmelo Marrero in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carmelo Marrero's way (47%).
Carmelo Marrero holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1631, a 19-point edge.
Bruno Lopes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Carmelo Marrero enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Bruno Lopes finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Carmelo Marrero 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.