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Combat Edge Intelligence

Bruno Lopes vs Jeremy Kimball

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bruno Lopes
br

Bruno Lopes

“Brunao”

14-4-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1631Solid

Tale of the tape

14-4-0Record19-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
74"Reach41,0"
204 lbsWeight213 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Bruno LopesNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Jeremy KimballNow 1627
If they win+12→ 1639
If they lose-12→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.88
Sig. strikes / min
2.81
43%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.84
54%
Strike defense
49%
1.93
Takedown avg.
1.41
22%
Takedown accuracy
20%
100%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Bruno LopesJeremy Kimball
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (43%)
KO/TKO
14 (74%)
5 (36%)
Submission
1 (5%)
3 (21%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Bruno Lopes54%
Jeremy Kimball 46%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Bruno Lopes a 54% favorite over Jeremy Kimball in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1627), separated by just 4 points.

Bruno Lopes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Bruno Lopes finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Kimball 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.