Bruno Lopes vs Rafael Cavalcante
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record13-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
74"Reach41,0"
204 lbsWeight205 lbs
011 MMA TeamTeamTeam Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bruno LopesRafael Cavalcante
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bruno Lopes63%
Rafael Cavalcante 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bruno Lopes a 63% favorite over Rafael Cavalcante in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1631), separated by just 0 points.
Bruno Lopes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Bruno Lopes finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Cavalcante 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.