Bruno Lopes vs Raffael Cerqueira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record11-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74"Reach76"
204 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Bruno LopesRaffael Cerqueira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Bruno Lopes67%
Raffael Cerqueira 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Bruno Lopes a 67% favorite over Raffael Cerqueira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1629), separated by just 2 points.
Bruno Lopes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Raffael Cerqueira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Bruno Lopes finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Raffael Cerqueira 91%.
Raffael Cerqueira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.